Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Florgrade to win @ 2.88 – our chance 39% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFlorgrade to win ✗39% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.69
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 6.99
Salgueiros vs Florgrade preview and prediction
The match
Florgrade travel to Complexo Desportivo de Campanhã in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B on Sunday 22 March (16:00 WAT) to face Salgueiros. Salgueiros are 6th with 11 points from 8 games (in the top half), while Florgrade sit 7th on 11 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Salgueiros's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to Leça 1–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
Florgrade's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Beira-Mar 1–0 at home. They average 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Florgrade arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.9 for Salgueiros and 1.0 for Florgrade. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Florgrade to win at 2.88 – 39% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Salgueiros 0–0 Florgrade. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Salgueiros36%fair 2.79 · @2.35
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @2.90
Florgrade39%fair 2.58 · @2.88
1.94Expected goals
0.94Salgueiros xG
1.00Florgrade xG
41%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–014%
0–114%
1–014%
1–114%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Salgueiros 0.9 – 1.0 Florgrade expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Florgrade to win✗
39%
2.58
2.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
6.99
–
Form
Salgueiros – last 5
LDLDL
15 Mar
@ Leça
1–3
L
8 Mar
vs Vila Real
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Rebordosa
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Aparecida
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Resende
0–2
L
0.6Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Florgrade – last 5
WDWWD
15 Mar
vs Beira-Mar
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ Anadia
2–2
D
1 Mar
vs Gouveia
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ União Lamas
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Alpendorada
2–2
D
1.6Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Salgueiros and Florgrade.
What is the prediction for Salgueiros vs Florgrade?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Salgueiros vs Florgrade?
On our numbers Salgueiros have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Florgrade 39%.
How many goals will there be in Salgueiros vs Florgrade?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Salgueiros vs Florgrade?
Our predicted score is Salgueiros 0–0 Florgrade, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Salgueiros vs Florgrade?
Salgueiros vs Florgrade (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Complexo Desportivo de Campanhã.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Anadia0
Gouveia0
Aparecida3
Vila Real1
Vila Meã1
Rebordosa0
Resende1
Leça1