Unia Swarzędz vs Stargard Szczeciński Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 1 May 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultUnia Swarzędz to win ✗59% · @1.80

Double chanceEither team to win ✗83% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.94

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.26

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10

Unia Swarzędz vs Stargard Szczeciński preview and prediction

The match

Stargard Szczeciński travel to Stadion Miejski in the III Liga Group 2 on Friday 1 May (11:00 WAT) to face Unia Swarzędz. Unia Swarzędz are 7th with 22 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Stargard Szczeciński sit 6th on 24 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Unia Swarzędz's last 4: WWDW Most recently they beat Polonia Środa 1–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.0 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Stargard Szczeciński's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Lech Poznań II 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Unia Swarzędz arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.2.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.9 for Unia Swarzędz and 1.1 for Stargard Szczeciński. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 51%.

Betting angles

Win chances: Unia Swarzędz 59%, draw 17%, Stargard Szczeciński 24%.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Unia Swarzędz to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.69, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Unia Swarzędz 2–1 Stargard Szczeciński. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Unia Swarzędz59%fair 1.69 · @1.80

Draw17%fair 6.02 · @3.70

Stargard Szczeciński24%fair 4.13 · @3.40

2.97Expected goals

1.89Unia Swarzędz xG

1.08Stargard Szczeciński xG

51%Both score

58%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–110%

2–110%

1–010%

2–09%

3–16%

3–06%

From our goals model: Unia Swarzędz 1.9 – 1.1 Stargard Szczeciński expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Unia Swarzędz to win ✗	59%	1.69	1.80 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	83%	1.20	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	51%	1.94	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	80%	1.26	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	58%	1.74	1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	66%	1.53	–
Half-time result	Unia Swarzędz ahead at half-time ✗	41%	2.41	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Unia Swarzędz / FT Unia Swarzędz ✗	35%	2.84	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.10	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Unia Swarzędz to win ✗

59%

1.69

1.80 ▲

Double chance

Either team to win ✗

83%

1.20

1.22

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✗

51%

1.94

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✗

80%

1.26

–

Over/under 2.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals ✗

58%

1.74

1.62

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✓

66%

1.53

–

Half-time result

Unia Swarzędz ahead at half-time ✗

41%

2.41

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Unia Swarzędz / FT Unia Swarzędz ✗

35%

2.84

–

Correct score

Correct score 2–1 ✗

10%

10.10

–

Form

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Unia Swarzędz and Stargard Szczeciński.

III Liga Group 2 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Polonia Środa	16	11	4	1	+22	37
2	Kluczevia Stargard	16	9	3	4	+4	30
3	Luzino	16	9	2	5	+15	29
4	Wda Świecie	16	8	5	3	+4	29
5	Lech Poznań II	16	8	3	5	+11	27
6	Stargard Szczeciński	16	6	6	4	+9	24
7	Unia Swarzędz	16	6	4	6	+4	22
8	Bałtyk Koszalin	16	5	6	5	+2	21
9	Noteć Czarnków	16	6	3	7	-2	21
10	Kalisz	16	4	8	4	-2	20
11	Elana Toruń	16	5	5	6	-3	20
12	Gedania Gdansk	16	4	7	5	0	19
13	Grom Nowy Staw	16	6	1	9	-1	19
14	Chemik Bydgoszcz	16	4	6	6	-5	18
15	Flota Świnoujście	16	5	3	8	-13	18
16	Lipno Stęszew	16	4	2	10	-11	14
17	Victoria Września	16	2	8	6	-12	14
18	Kotwica Kórnik	16	3	2	11	-22	11

Team

Pts

+22

+15

+11

-2

-2

-3

-1

-5

-13

-11

-12

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Unia Swarzędz vs Stargard Szczeciński?

Our pick is Unia Swarzędz to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Unia Swarzędz vs Stargard Szczeciński?

On our numbers Unia Swarzędz have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Stargard Szczeciński 24%.

How many goals will there be in Unia Swarzędz vs Stargard Szczeciński?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Unia Swarzędz vs Stargard Szczeciński?

Our predicted score is Unia Swarzędz 2–1 Stargard Szczeciński, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Unia Swarzędz vs Stargard Szczeciński?

Unia Swarzędz vs Stargard Szczeciński (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

10 Apr	@ Polonia Środa	1–0	W
3 Apr	vs Pogoń Szczecin II	1–0	W
7 Mar	vs Wda Świecie	0–0	D
1 Mar	@ Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	4–0	W

4 Apr	@ Lech Poznań II	1–1	D
22 Mar	@ Pogoń Szczecin II	0–3	L
17 Mar	@ Elana Toruń	0–1	L
13 Mar	vs Cartusia Kartuzy	3–0	W
7 Mar	@ Lipno Stęszew	2–1	W
28 Feb	vs Kluczevia Stargard	0–3	L

By day