Victoria Września vs Elana Toruń Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 1 May 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultVictoria Września to win ✓61% · @1.83

Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.22

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.87

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.09

Victoria Września vs Elana Toruń preview and prediction

The match

Elana Toruń travel to Stadion Miejski in the III Liga Group 2 on Friday 1 May (14:00 WAT) to face Victoria Września. Victoria Września are 17th with 14 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Elana Toruń sit 11th on 20 points (in the bottom half).

Form guide

Victoria Września's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Tłuchowia 2–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Elana Toruń's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Luzino 1–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Victoria Września and 0.9 for Elana Toruń. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 46%.

Betting angles

Win chances: Victoria Września 61%, draw 17%, Elana Toruń 21%.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Victoria Września to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Victoria Września 1–0 Elana Toruń. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Victoria Września61%fair 1.63 · @1.83

Draw17%fair 5.78 · @3.70

Elana Toruń21%fair 4.71 · @3.40

2.67Expected goals

1.78Victoria Września xG

0.89Elana Toruń xG

46%Both score

51%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–012%

2–011%

1–111%

2–110%

0–07%

3–07%

From our goals model: Victoria Września 1.8 – 0.9 Elana Toruń expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Victoria Września to win ✓	61%	1.63	1.83 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	83%	1.21	1.22
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	54%	1.87	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	75%	1.34	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	51%	1.98	1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	72%	1.39	–
Half-time result	Victoria Września ahead at half-time ✓	42%	2.38	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Victoria Września / FT Victoria Września ✓	36%	2.74	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	12%	8.09	–

Form

Victoria Września – last 6

WWDWLL

19 Apr	vs Tłuchowia	2–0	W
12 Apr	@ Pogoń Szczecin II	2–1	W
4 Apr	vs Noteć Czarnków	0–0	D
1 Apr	@ Cartusia Kartuzy	3–0	W
7 Mar	vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0–2	L
27 Feb	@ Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal	1–2	L

1.3Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Elana Toruń – last 6

LLWWLW

19 Apr	@ Luzino	1–2	L
3 Apr	vs Wda Świecie	0–1	L
23 Mar	vs Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal	5–1	W
17 Mar	vs Stargard Szczeciński	1–0	W
8 Mar	vs Polonia Środa	0–3	L
13 Feb	@ Warta Poznań	2–1	W

1.5Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Polonia Środa	16	11	4	1	+22	37
2	Kluczevia Stargard	16	9	3	4	+4	30
3	Luzino	16	9	2	5	+15	29
4	Wda Świecie	16	8	5	3	+4	29
5	Lech Poznań II	16	8	3	5	+11	27
6	Stargard Szczeciński	16	6	6	4	+9	24
7	Unia Swarzędz	16	6	4	6	+4	22
8	Bałtyk Koszalin	16	5	6	5	+2	21
9	Noteć Czarnków	16	6	3	7	-2	21
10	Kalisz	16	4	8	4	-2	20
11	Elana Toruń	16	5	5	6	-3	20
12	Gedania Gdansk	16	4	7	5	0	19
13	Grom Nowy Staw	16	6	1	9	-1	19
14	Chemik Bydgoszcz	16	4	6	6	-5	18
15	Flota Świnoujście	16	5	3	8	-13	18
16	Lipno Stęszew	16	4	2	10	-11	14
17	Victoria Września	16	2	8	6	-12	14
18	Kotwica Kórnik	16	3	2	11	-22	11

Team

Pts

+22

+15

+11

-2

-2

-3

-1

-5

-13

-11

-12

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Victoria Września vs Elana Toruń?

Our pick is Victoria Września to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.

Who will win Victoria Września vs Elana Toruń?

On our numbers Victoria Września have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Elana Toruń 21%.

How many goals will there be in Victoria Września vs Elana Toruń?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Victoria Września vs Elana Toruń?

Our predicted score is Victoria Września 1–0 Elana Toruń, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Victoria Września vs Elana Toruń?

Victoria Września vs Elana Toruń (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes