Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.70
Lipno Stęszew vs Noteć Czarnków preview and prediction
The match
The III Liga Group 2 sees Lipno Stęszew take on Noteć Czarnków on Friday 1 May, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Boisko Lipno Stęszew. Lipno Stęszew are 16th with 14 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Noteć Czarnków sit 9th on 21 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Lipno Stęszew's last 4: DLLL Most recently they drew with Polonia Środa 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Noteć Czarnków's last 4: WDWL Most recently they beat Lech Poznań II 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Noteć Czarnków arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Lipno Stęszew and 1.4 for Noteć Czarnków. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 54% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Lipno Stęszew 2–1 Noteć Czarnków. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lipno Stęszew40%fair 2.49 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.50
Noteć Czarnków37%fair 2.67 · @2.62
2.86Expected goals
1.46Lipno Stęszew xG
1.40Noteć Czarnków xG
51%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Lipno Stęszew 1.5 – 1.4 Noteć Czarnków expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lipno Stęszew to win✓
40%
2.49
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lipno Stęszew / FT Lipno Stęszew✓
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.70
–
Form
Lipno Stęszew – last 4
DLLL
4 Apr
vs Polonia Środa
1–1
D
27 Mar
@ Tłuchowia
1–3
L
7 Mar
vs Stargard Szczeciński
1–2
L
28 Feb
@ Wda Świecie
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Noteć Czarnków – last 4
WDWL
15 Apr
vs Lech Poznań II
2–1
W
4 Apr
@ Victoria Września
0–0
D
25 Mar
@ Flota Świnoujście
4–2
W
27 Feb
@ Zawisza Bydgoszcz
0–5
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lipno Stęszew and Noteć Czarnków.
What is the prediction for Lipno Stęszew vs Noteć Czarnków?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Lipno Stęszew vs Noteć Czarnków?
On our numbers Lipno Stęszew have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Noteć Czarnków 37%.
How many goals will there be in Lipno Stęszew vs Noteć Czarnków?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lipno Stęszew vs Noteć Czarnków?
Our predicted score is Lipno Stęszew 2–1 Noteć Czarnków, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Lipno Stęszew vs Noteć Czarnków?
Lipno Stęszew vs Noteć Czarnków (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Boisko Lipno Stęszew.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tłuchowia3
Pogoń Szczecin II3
Cartusia Kartuzy1
Zawisza Bydgoszcz0