Value bet: Dorking Wanderers to win @ 2.20 – our chance 49% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDorking Wanderers to win ✗49% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.78
Maidstone Utd vs Dorking Wanderers preview and prediction
The match
The National League South sees Maidstone Utd take on Dorking Wanderers on Saturday 21 February, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Gallagher Stadium. Maidstone Utd are 2nd with 32 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Dorking Wanderers sit 6th on 27 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Maidstone Utd and 1.6 for Dorking Wanderers. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 61%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Dorking Wanderers to win at 2.20 – 49% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Maidstone Utd 1–1 Dorking Wanderers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maidstone Utd30%fair 3.32 · @2.85
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.45
Dorking Wanderers49%fair 2.03 · @2.20
2.74Expected goals
1.16Maidstone Utd xG
1.58Dorking Wanderers xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Maidstone Utd 1.2 – 1.6 Dorking Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dorking Wanderers to win✗
49%
2.03
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dorking Wanderers / FT Dorking Wanderers✗
28%
3.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.78
–
Form
Maidstone Utd – last 1
D
16 Feb
@ Chelmsford City
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Dorking Wanderers – last 1
W
17 Feb
vs AFC Hornchurch
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maidstone Utd and Dorking Wanderers.
What is the prediction for Maidstone Utd vs Dorking Wanderers?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Maidstone Utd vs Dorking Wanderers?
On our numbers Maidstone Utd have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Dorking Wanderers 49%.
How many goals will there be in Maidstone Utd vs Dorking Wanderers?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maidstone Utd vs Dorking Wanderers?
Our predicted score is Maidstone Utd 1–1 Dorking Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Maidstone Utd vs Dorking Wanderers?
Maidstone Utd vs Dorking Wanderers (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Gallagher Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
AFC Hornchurch0
Bath City0
Eastbourne Borough4
Enfield Town5