Horsham vs Hemel Hempstead Town preview and prediction
The match
Hemel Hempstead Town travel to The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium in the National League South on Saturday 21 February (16:00 WAT) to face Horsham. Horsham are 12th with 22 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Hemel Hempstead Town sit 20th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Horsham and 1.2 for Hemel Hempstead Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Horsham 40%, draw 24%, Hemel Hempstead Town 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Horsham 1–1 Hemel Hempstead Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Horsham40%fair 2.49 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.20
Hemel Hempstead Town36%fair 2.79 · @2.62
2.41Expected goals
1.25Horsham xG
1.16Hemel Hempstead Town xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Horsham 1.2 – 1.2 Hemel Hempstead Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Horsham to win✓
40%
2.49
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Horsham / FT Horsham✓
22%
4.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.91
–
Form
Horsham – last 1
L
17 Feb
@ Enfield Town
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Hemel Hempstead Town
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Horsham and Hemel Hempstead Town.
What is the prediction for Horsham vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Horsham vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
On our numbers Horsham have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Hemel Hempstead Town 36%.
How many goals will there be in Horsham vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Horsham vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
Our predicted score is Horsham 1–1 Hemel Hempstead Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Horsham vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
Horsham vs Hemel Hempstead Town (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
AFC Hornchurch0
Bath City0
Eastbourne Borough4
Enfield Town5