Value bet: Chesham United to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultEbbsfleet United to win ✗41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.11
Chesham United vs Ebbsfleet United preview and prediction
The match
Ebbsfleet United travel to The Meadow in the National League South on Saturday 21 February (16:00 WAT) to face Chesham United. Chesham United are 21st with 11 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Ebbsfleet United sit 1st on 35 points (top of the table). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Chesham United and 1.3 for Ebbsfleet United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chesham United 35%, draw 24%, Ebbsfleet United 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Chesham United to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Chesham United 1–1 Ebbsfleet United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chesham United35%fair 2.86 · @3.10
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.25
Ebbsfleet United41%fair 2.43 · @2.15
2.47Expected goals
1.17Chesham United xG
1.30Ebbsfleet United xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Chesham United 1.2 – 1.3 Ebbsfleet United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ebbsfleet United to win✗
41%
2.43
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ebbsfleet United / FT Ebbsfleet United✗
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.11
–
Form
Chesham United – last 1
W
17 Feb
vs Eastbourne Borough
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Ebbsfleet United – last 1
D
17 Feb
@ Bath City
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chesham United and Ebbsfleet United.
What is the prediction for Chesham United vs Ebbsfleet United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Chesham United vs Ebbsfleet United?
On our numbers Chesham United have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ebbsfleet United 41%.
How many goals will there be in Chesham United vs Ebbsfleet United?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chesham United vs Ebbsfleet United?
Our predicted score is Chesham United 1–1 Ebbsfleet United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Chesham United vs Ebbsfleet United?
Chesham United vs Ebbsfleet United (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at The Meadow.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
AFC Hornchurch0
Bath City0
Eastbourne Borough4
Enfield Town5