Chelmsford City vs Salisbury prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Chelmsford City to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.64 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.64Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultChelmsford City to win ✗68% · @1.64
Double chanceChelmsford City or draw ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.11
Chelmsford City vs Salisbury preview and prediction
The match
Salisbury travel to Melbourne Stadium in the National League South on Saturday 21 February (16:00 WAT) to face Chelmsford City. Chelmsford City are 8th with 25 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Salisbury sit 3rd on 31 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Chelmsford City and 0.7 for Salisbury. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 57%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chelmsford City 68%, draw 19%, Salisbury 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Chelmsford City to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.64, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Chelmsford City 1–0 Salisbury. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chelmsford City68%fair 1.48 · @1.64
Draw19%fair 5.32 · @3.65
Salisbury14%fair 7.40 · @4.75
2.62Expected goals
1.93Chelmsford City xG
0.69Salisbury xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Chelmsford City 1.9 – 0.7 Salisbury expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chelmsford City to win✗
68%
1.48
1.64 ▲
Double chance
Chelmsford City or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.36
Half-time result
Chelmsford City ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chelmsford City / FT Chelmsford City✗
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.11
–
Form
Chelmsford City – last 1
D
16 Feb
vs Maidstone Utd
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Salisbury – last 1
W
17 Feb
vs Chippenham Town
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chelmsford City and Salisbury.
What is the prediction for Chelmsford City vs Salisbury?
Our pick is Chelmsford City to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.64.
Who will win Chelmsford City vs Salisbury?
On our numbers Chelmsford City have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Salisbury 14%.
How many goals will there be in Chelmsford City vs Salisbury?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chelmsford City vs Salisbury?
Our predicted score is Chelmsford City 1–0 Salisbury, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Chelmsford City vs Salisbury?
Chelmsford City vs Salisbury (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Melbourne Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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