Weston-super-Mare vs Tonbridge Angels preview and prediction
The match
Tonbridge Angels travel to The Optima Stadium in the National League South on Tuesday 17 March (20:45 WAT) to face Weston-super-Mare. Weston-super-Mare are 14th with 21 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Tonbridge Angels sit 10th on 24 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Weston-super-Mare's last 4: WLDD Most recently they beat AFC Totton 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tonbridge Angels's last 3: LWW Most recently they lost to Dover 0–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Tonbridge Angels arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Weston-super-Mare and 1.3 for Tonbridge Angels. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 57%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Weston-super-Mare 1–1 Tonbridge Angels. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Weston-super-Mare50%fair 1.99 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.45
Tonbridge Angels27%fair 3.76 · @3.95
2.80Expected goals
1.46Weston-super-Mare xG
1.34Tonbridge Angels xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Weston-super-Mare 1.5 – 1.3 Tonbridge Angels expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Weston-super-Mare
Tonbridge Angels
Attack vs National League South average
-2%
+18%
Goals conceded vs average
-3%
-15%
Our expected goals here
1.34
1.63
Our own ratings from every National League South result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Weston-super-Mare to win✗
50%
1.99
1.80
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Weston-super-Mare / FT Weston-super-Mare✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.24
–
Form
Weston-super-Mare – last 4
WLDD
10 Mar
vs AFC Totton
1–0
W
3 Mar
@ Maidstone Utd
1–2
L
24 Feb
@ Bath City
0–0
D
21 Feb
@ Dover
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Tonbridge Angels – last 3
LWW
10 Mar
@ Dover
0–2
L
24 Feb
vs Hampton & Richmond
2–0
W
21 Feb
vs Chippenham Town
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Weston-super-Mare and Tonbridge Angels.
What is the prediction for Weston-super-Mare vs Tonbridge Angels?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Weston-super-Mare vs Tonbridge Angels?
On our numbers Weston-super-Mare have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tonbridge Angels 27%.
How many goals will there be in Weston-super-Mare vs Tonbridge Angels?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Weston-super-Mare vs Tonbridge Angels?
Our predicted score is Weston-super-Mare 1–1 Tonbridge Angels, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Weston-super-Mare vs Tonbridge Angels?
Weston-super-Mare vs Tonbridge Angels (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Optima Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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