Value bet: Ebbsfleet United to win @ 2.88 – our chance 41% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultEbbsfleet United to win ✓41% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.24
Maidenhead vs Ebbsfleet United preview and prediction
The match
Maidenhead host Ebbsfleet United in the National League South on Tuesday 17 March, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at York Road. Maidenhead are 18th with 16 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Ebbsfleet United sit 1st on 35 points (top of the table). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Maidenhead's last 4: DWWW Most recently they drew with Worthing 0–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ebbsfleet United's last 4: WDLD Most recently they beat Eastbourne Borough 3–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Maidenhead arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.0 for Maidenhead and 1.5 for Ebbsfleet United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Maidenhead 34%, draw 25%, Ebbsfleet United 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Ebbsfleet United to win at 2.88 – 41% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Maidenhead 1–1 Ebbsfleet United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maidenhead34%fair 2.95 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.35
Ebbsfleet United41%fair 2.45 · @2.88
2.53Expected goals
1.00Maidenhead xG
1.53Ebbsfleet United xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Maidenhead 1.0 – 1.5 Ebbsfleet United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Maidenhead
Ebbsfleet United
Attack vs National League South average
-24%
+50%
Goals conceded vs average
-19%
-34%
Our expected goals here
0.81
1.72
Our own ratings from every National League South result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ebbsfleet United to win✓
41%
2.45
2.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ebbsfleet United / FT Ebbsfleet United✓
30%
3.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.24
–
Form
Maidenhead – last 4
DWWW
10 Mar
@ Worthing
0–0
D
3 Mar
vs AFC Totton
2–0
W
24 Feb
vs Salisbury
2–1
W
21 Feb
vs Dagenham & Redbridge
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Ebbsfleet United – last 4
WDLD
10 Mar
@ Eastbourne Borough
3–1
W
24 Feb
@ Horsham
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Chesham United
1–4
L
17 Feb
@ Bath City
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maidenhead and Ebbsfleet United.
What is the prediction for Maidenhead vs Ebbsfleet United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Maidenhead vs Ebbsfleet United?
On our numbers Maidenhead have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ebbsfleet United 41%.
How many goals will there be in Maidenhead vs Ebbsfleet United?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maidenhead vs Ebbsfleet United?
Our predicted score is Maidenhead 1–1 Ebbsfleet United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Maidenhead vs Ebbsfleet United?
Maidenhead vs Ebbsfleet United (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at York Road.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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