Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHorsham to win ✓56% · @1.85
Double chanceHorsham or draw ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.59
Horsham vs Bath City preview and prediction
The match
The National League South sees Horsham take on Bath City on Tuesday 17 March, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium.
Form guide
Horsham's last 4: LDWL Most recently they lost to AFC Hornchurch 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Bath City's last 5: LDDLD Most recently they lost to Farnborough 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Horsham and 0.9 for Bath City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Horsham 56%, draw 22%, Bath City 22%.
Safer route: Horsham or draw (78%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Horsham or draw – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Horsham 1–0 Bath City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Horsham56%fair 1.79 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.35
Bath City22%fair 4.59 · @3.75
2.56Expected goals
1.70Horsham xG
0.86Bath City xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Horsham 1.7 – 0.9 Bath City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Horsham
Bath City
Attack vs National League South average
-7%
-30%
Goals conceded vs average
-15%
+21%
Our expected goals here
1.81
0.84
Our own ratings from every National League South result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Horsham to win✓
56%
1.79
1.85
Double chance
Horsham or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Horsham / FT Horsham✗
35%
2.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.59
–
Form
Horsham – last 4
LDWL
10 Mar
vs AFC Hornchurch
0–2
L
24 Feb
vs Ebbsfleet United
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Hemel Hempstead Town
2–0
W
17 Feb
@ Enfield Town
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Bath City – last 5
LDDLD
10 Mar
vs Farnborough
0–1
L
3 Mar
vs Slough Town
1–1
D
24 Feb
vs Weston-super-Mare
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Hampton & Richmond
0–4
L
17 Feb
vs Ebbsfleet United
2–2
D
0.6Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Horsham and Bath City.
Our pick is Horsham or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Horsham vs Bath City?
On our numbers Horsham have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bath City 22%.
How many goals will there be in Horsham vs Bath City?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Horsham vs Bath City?
Our predicted score is Horsham 1–0 Bath City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Horsham vs Bath City?
Horsham vs Bath City (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Enfield Town2