Chesham United vs AFC Totton preview and prediction
The match
The National League South sees Chesham United take on AFC Totton on Tuesday 17 March, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at The Meadow. Chesham United are 21st with 11 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while AFC Totton sit 16th on 19 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Chesham United's last 4: LLWW Most recently they lost to Worthing 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
AFC Totton's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to Weston-super-Mare 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
Chesham United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.7 for Chesham United and 1.2 for AFC Totton. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 62%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chesham United 54%, draw 23%, AFC Totton 23%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Chesham United 1–1 AFC Totton. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chesham United54%fair 1.84 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.55
AFC Totton23%fair 4.32 · @4.20
2.88Expected goals
1.69Chesham United xG
1.19AFC Totton xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–110%
1–010%
2–08%
1–27%
0–17%
From our goals model: Chesham United 1.7 – 1.2 AFC Totton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Chesham United
AFC Totton
Attack vs National League South average
-2%
-24%
Goals conceded vs average
+31%
+10%
Our expected goals here
1.74
1.42
Our own ratings from every National League South result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chesham United to win✗
54%
1.84
1.73
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chesham United / FT Chesham United✗
30%
3.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.48
–
Form
Chesham United – last 4
LLWW
3 Mar
@ Worthing
0–2
L
24 Feb
vs Dagenham & Redbridge
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs Ebbsfleet United
4–1
W
17 Feb
vs Eastbourne Borough
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
AFC Totton – last 5
LLDWD
10 Mar
@ Weston-super-Mare
0–1
L
3 Mar
@ Maidenhead
0–2
L
24 Feb
vs Slough Town
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs AFC Hornchurch
1–0
W
17 Feb
vs Hampton & Richmond
1–1
D
0.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chesham United and AFC Totton.
What is the prediction for Chesham United vs AFC Totton?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Chesham United vs AFC Totton?
On our numbers Chesham United have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 23% and AFC Totton 23%.
How many goals will there be in Chesham United vs AFC Totton?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chesham United vs AFC Totton?
Our predicted score is Chesham United 1–1 AFC Totton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Chesham United vs AFC Totton?
Chesham United vs AFC Totton (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Meadow.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.