Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.38
Spartak Moscow vs Rubin preview and prediction
The match
Rubin travel to Lukoil Arena in the Premier League on Monday 11 May (15:30 WAT) to face Spartak Moscow. Spartak Moscow are 3rd with 29 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Rubin sit 8th on 18 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Spartak Moscow's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat CSKA Moscow 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Rubin's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Dynamo 1–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Spartak Moscow and 0.6 for Rubin. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 50%.
Safer route: Spartak Moscow or draw (91%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.27. Predicted score: Spartak Moscow 1–0 Rubin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spartak Moscow67%fair 1.49 · @1.56
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @4.25
Rubin9%fair 11.25 · @6.35
2.50Expected goals
1.90Spartak Moscow xG
0.59Rubin xG
50%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–015%
3–09%
1–19%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Spartak Moscow 1.9 – 0.6 Rubin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spartak Moscow to win✓
67%
1.49
1.56
Double chance
Spartak Moscow or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.84
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.27
Half-time result
Spartak Moscow ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spartak Moscow / FT Spartak Moscow✓
44%
2.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.38
–
Form
Spartak Moscow – last 6
WLWLWW
6 May
vs CSKA Moscow
1–0
W
1 May
@ Krylia Sovetov
1–2
L
26 Apr
@ Nizhny Novgorod
2–1
W
23 Apr
vs FC Krasnodar
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Akhmat
3–1
W
5 Apr
vs Lokomotiv
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Rubin – last 6
WWDWWL
22 Apr
@ Dynamo
1–0
W
6 Apr
@ FC Sochi
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Krylia Sovetov
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Lokomotiv
3–0
W
8 Mar
vs FC Krasnodar
2–1
W
20 Feb
@ FC Orenburg
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spartak Moscow and Rubin.
What is the prediction for Spartak Moscow vs Rubin?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Spartak Moscow vs Rubin?
On our numbers Spartak Moscow have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rubin 9%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Moscow vs Rubin?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartak Moscow vs Rubin?
Our predicted score is Spartak Moscow 1–0 Rubin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Spartak Moscow vs Rubin?
Spartak Moscow vs Rubin (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Lukoil Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nizhny Novgorod1