Value bet: Akron to win @ 2.88 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAkron to win ✗38% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.38
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.17
Akron vs FC Rostov preview and prediction
The match
Akron host FC Rostov in the Premier League on Monday 11 May, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Samara Arena. Akron are 14th with 12 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while FC Rostov sit 6th on 19 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Akron's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Baltika 1–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
FC Rostov's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Dinamo Makhachkala 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Akron and 1.2 for FC Rostov. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Akron 38%, draw 24%, FC Rostov 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Akron to win at 2.88 – 38% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Akron 1–1 FC Rostov. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Akron38%fair 2.60 · @2.88
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.28
FC Rostov37%fair 2.69 · @2.62
2.41Expected goals
1.22Akron xG
1.19FC Rostov xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Akron 1.2 – 1.2 FC Rostov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Akron to win✗
38%
2.60
2.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.38
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.76
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Akron / FT Akron✗
21%
4.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.17
–
Form
Akron – last 6
WDLLLD
27 Apr
@ Baltika
1–0
W
23 Apr
vs Dinamo Makhachkala
1–1
D
13 Apr
vs Dynamo
2–3
L
4 Apr
vs CSKA Moscow
1–2
L
22 Mar
@ Lokomotiv
1–5
L
15 Mar
vs Akhmat
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC Rostov – last 6
WDLWLL
2 May
@ Dinamo Makhachkala
2–1
W
21 Apr
@ CSKA Moscow
1–1
D
17 Apr
vs FC Sochi
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ Nizhny Novgorod
1–0
W
21 Mar
@ Akhmat
0–1
L
4 Mar
vs Dinamo Makhachkala
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Akron and FC Rostov.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Akron vs FC Rostov?
On our numbers Akron have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FC Rostov 37%.
How many goals will there be in Akron vs FC Rostov?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Akron vs FC Rostov?
Our predicted score is Akron 1–1 FC Rostov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Akron vs FC Rostov?
Akron vs FC Rostov (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Samara Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nizhny Novgorod1