Value bet: CSKA Moscow to win @ 2.20 – our chance 48% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCSKA Moscow to win ✓48% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.71
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.90
Nizhny Novgorod vs CSKA Moscow preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Nizhny Novgorod take on CSKA Moscow on Monday 11 May, kicking off at 13:15 (WAT) at Sovcombank Arena.
Form guide
Nizhny Novgorod's last 4: LLLW Most recently they lost to Spartak Moscow 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
CSKA Moscow's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Spartak Moscow 0–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Nizhny Novgorod and 1.5 for CSKA Moscow. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: CSKA Moscow to win at 2.20 – 48% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.31. Predicted score: Nizhny Novgorod 1–1 CSKA Moscow. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nizhny Novgorod31%fair 3.25 · @3.36
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.54
CSKA Moscow48%fair 2.07 · @2.20
2.57Expected goals
1.10Nizhny Novgorod xG
1.47CSKA Moscow xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Nizhny Novgorod 1.1 – 1.5 CSKA Moscow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CSKA Moscow to win✓
48%
2.07
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.33 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.71
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.27
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.92
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.31
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CSKA Moscow / FT CSKA Moscow✗
27%
3.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.90
–
Form
Nizhny Novgorod – last 4
LLLW
26 Apr
vs Spartak Moscow
1–2
L
22 Apr
@ FC Orenburg
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs FC Rostov
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Krylia Sovetov
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
CSKA Moscow – last 6
LDLWWL
6 May
@ Spartak Moscow
0–1
L
21 Apr
vs FC Rostov
1–1
D
12 Apr
vs FC Sochi
0–1
L
7 Apr
@ Krylia Sovetov
5–2
W
4 Apr
@ Akron
2–1
W
17 Mar
@ FC Krasnodar
0–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nizhny Novgorod and CSKA Moscow.
What is the prediction for Nizhny Novgorod vs CSKA Moscow?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.
Who will win Nizhny Novgorod vs CSKA Moscow?
On our numbers Nizhny Novgorod have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and CSKA Moscow 48%.
How many goals will there be in Nizhny Novgorod vs CSKA Moscow?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nizhny Novgorod vs CSKA Moscow?
Our predicted score is Nizhny Novgorod 1–1 CSKA Moscow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Nizhny Novgorod vs CSKA Moscow?
Nizhny Novgorod vs CSKA Moscow (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time) at Sovcombank Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
