Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
2
Value bet: FC Krasnodar to win @ 1.88 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Krasnodar to win ✗60% · @1.88
Double chanceFC Krasnodar or draw ✗81% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.58
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.73
Dynamo vs FC Krasnodar preview and prediction
The match
Dynamo host FC Krasnodar in the Premier League on Monday 11 May, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at VTB Arena. Dynamo are 2nd with 31 points from 14 games (in the top four), while FC Krasnodar sit 4th on 26 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Dynamo's last 5: DLWDL Most recently they drew with Lokomotiv 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
FC Krasnodar's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Spartak Moscow 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
FC Krasnodar arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 April 2026, finished Dynamo 0–0 FC Krasnodar.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.0 for Dynamo and 2.0 for FC Krasnodar. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dynamo 19%, draw 21%, FC Krasnodar 60%.
Safer route: FC Krasnodar or draw (81%) at 1.30.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.58.
Value angle: FC Krasnodar to win at 1.88 – 60% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Krasnodar or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.23, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Dynamo 0–1 FC Krasnodar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dynamo19%fair 5.30 · @3.84
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @4.15
FC Krasnodar60%fair 1.67 · @1.88
2.94Expected goals
0.99Dynamo xG
1.95FC Krasnodar xG
63%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–110%
1–110%
0–210%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Dynamo 1.0 – 2.0 FC Krasnodar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Dynamo vs FC Krasnodar?
Our pick is FC Krasnodar or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Dynamo vs FC Krasnodar?
On our numbers Dynamo have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Krasnodar 60%.
How many goals will there be in Dynamo vs FC Krasnodar?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dynamo vs FC Krasnodar?
Our predicted score is Dynamo 0–1 FC Krasnodar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Dynamo vs FC Krasnodar?
Dynamo vs FC Krasnodar (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at VTB Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nizhny Novgorod1