Portimonense host Farense in the Segunda Liga on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 20:30 (WAT) at Estádio Municipal de Portimão. Portimonense are 10th with 14 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Farense sit 8th on 15 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Portimonense's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Chaves 3–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Farense's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Vizela 2–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Portimonense and 1.3 for Farense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 58%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Portimonense 1–1 Farense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Portimonense37%fair 2.73 · @2.58
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.35
Farense40%fair 2.47 · @2.46
2.52Expected goals
1.22Portimonense xG
1.30Farense xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Portimonense 1.2 – 1.3 Farense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Farense to win✗
40%
2.47
2.46
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.91
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Farense / FT Farense✗
22%
4.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.59
–
Form
Portimonense – last 6
WLWWLL
3 May
vs Chaves
3–2
W
25 Apr
@ Leixoes
0–2
L
19 Apr
vs Lusitânia Lourosa
3–2
W
3 Apr
@ Oliveirense
2–1
W
16 Mar
@ Torreense
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Academico Viseu
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Farense – last 5
WLDWL
19 Apr
@ Vizela
2–0
W
4 Apr
vs Feirense
0–1
L
13 Mar
vs Felgueiras 1932
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Lusitânia Lourosa
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Chaves
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portimonense and Farense.
What is the prediction for Portimonense vs Farense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Portimonense vs Farense?
On our numbers Portimonense have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Farense 40%.
How many goals will there be in Portimonense vs Farense?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portimonense vs Farense?
Our predicted score is Portimonense 1–1 Farense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Portimonense vs Farense?
Portimonense vs Farense (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Municipal de Portimão.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Oliveirense1
Pacos Ferreira2