União de Leiria vs Feirense preview and prediction
The match
Feirense travel to Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa in the Segunda Liga on Sunday 17 May (15:30 WAT) to face União de Leiria. União de Leiria are 5th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Feirense sit 18th on 5 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
União de Leiria's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Lusitânia Lourosa 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Feirense's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Pacos Ferreira 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for União de Leiria and 0.9 for Feirense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: União de Leiria 58%, draw 19%, Feirense 23%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: União de Leiria 1–1 Feirense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
União de Leiria58%fair 1.71 · @1.75
Draw19%fair 5.23 · @3.55
Feirense23%fair 4.43 · @4.20
2.64Expected goals
1.72União de Leiria xG
0.93Feirense xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: União de Leiria 1.7 – 0.9 Feirense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
União de Leiria to win✗
58%
1.71
1.75
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT União de Leiria / FT União de Leiria✗
34%
2.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.19
–
Form
União de Leiria – last 6
DWWLWD
5 Apr
vs Lusitânia Lourosa
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Pacos Ferreira
2–0
W
20 Mar
@ Chaves
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs Maritimo
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Leixoes
4–1
W
15 Feb
vs FC Porto B
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Feirense – last 6
WDLWWL
3 May
@ Pacos Ferreira
2–1
W
28 Apr
vs Torreense
0–0
D
17 Apr
@ Academico Viseu
0–3
L
12 Apr
vs Vizela
1–0
W
4 Apr
@ Farense
1–0
W
22 Mar
vs Sporting CP B
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between União de Leiria and Feirense.
What is the prediction for União de Leiria vs Feirense?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win União de Leiria vs Feirense?
On our numbers União de Leiria have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Feirense 23%.
How many goals will there be in União de Leiria vs Feirense?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for União de Leiria vs Feirense?
Our predicted score is União de Leiria 1–1 Feirense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is União de Leiria vs Feirense?
União de Leiria vs Feirense (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Oliveirense1
Pacos Ferreira2