Leixoes vs Lusitânia Lourosa preview and prediction
The match
Lusitânia Lourosa travel to Estádio do Mar in the Segunda Liga on Sunday 17 May (18:00 WAT) to face Leixoes. Leixoes are 12th with 11 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Lusitânia Lourosa sit 4th on 19 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Leixoes's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Maritimo 2–3 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Lusitânia Lourosa's last 5: DWLDD Most recently they drew with Oliveirense 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Leixoes arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.6 for Leixoes and 1.2 for Lusitânia Lourosa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 60%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Leixoes 1–1 Lusitânia Lourosa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leixoes48%fair 2.09 · @2.08
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.40
Lusitânia Lourosa31%fair 3.19 · @3.20
2.80Expected goals
1.58Leixoes xG
1.22Lusitânia Lourosa xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Leixoes 1.6 – 1.2 Lusitânia Lourosa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leixoes to win✓
48%
2.09
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leixoes / FT Leixoes✓
27%
3.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.36
–
Form
Leixoes – last 6
LWWDWL
1 May
@ Maritimo
2–3
L
25 Apr
vs Portimonense
2–0
W
20 Apr
@ FC Porto B
3–0
W
6 Apr
@ Torreense
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Pacos Ferreira
3–2
W
14 Mar
@ Academico Viseu
1–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lusitânia Lourosa – last 6
DWLDDL
2 May
@ Oliveirense
0–0
D
26 Apr
vs Pacos Ferreira
2–0
W
19 Apr
@ Portimonense
2–3
L
13 Apr
vs FC Porto B
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ União de Leiria
0–0
D
21 Mar
vs Academico Viseu
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leixoes and Lusitânia Lourosa.
What is the prediction for Leixoes vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Leixoes vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
On our numbers Leixoes have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lusitânia Lourosa 31%.
How many goals will there be in Leixoes vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leixoes vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
Our predicted score is Leixoes 1–1 Lusitânia Lourosa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Leixoes vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
Leixoes vs Lusitânia Lourosa (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Mar.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Oliveirense1
Pacos Ferreira2