Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 52% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultSporting CP to win66% · @1.31
Double chanceSporting CP or draw87% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–212% · fair 8.38
Moreirense vs Sporting CP preview and prediction
The match
The Primeira Liga sees Moreirense take on Sporting CP on Saturday 21 February, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas. Moreirense are 9th with 14 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Sporting CP sit 3rd on 24 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.8 for Moreirense and 2.1 for Sporting CP. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 52%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.05 – 52% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Moreirense 0–2 Sporting CP. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Moreirense13%fair 7.85 · @8.75
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @5.25
Sporting CP66%fair 1.51 · @1.31
2.91Expected goals
0.82Moreirense xG
2.10Sporting CP xG
52%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Moreirense 0.8 – 2.1 Sporting CP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting CP to win
66%
1.51
1.31
Double chance
Sporting CP or draw
87%
1.15
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.93
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
56%
1.79
1.63
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
65%
1.53
1.44
Half-time result
Sporting CP ahead at half-time
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting CP / FT Sporting CP
44%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2
12%
8.38
–
Form
Moreirense – last 1
W
16 Feb
@ Rio Ave
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Sporting CP – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Famalicao
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Moreirense and Sporting CP.
What is the prediction for Moreirense vs Sporting CP?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Moreirense vs Sporting CP?
On our numbers Moreirense have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sporting CP 66%.
How many goals will there be in Moreirense vs Sporting CP?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moreirense vs Sporting CP?
Our predicted score is Moreirense 0–2 Sporting CP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Moreirense vs Sporting CP?
Moreirense vs Sporting CP (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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