Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 54% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSanta Clara to win ✗39% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.38
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.07
Alverca vs Santa Clara preview and prediction
The match
Santa Clara travel to FC Alverca Sports Complex in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 21 February (16:30 WAT) to face Alverca. Alverca are 11th with 12 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Santa Clara sit 4th on 21 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Alverca and 1.1 for Santa Clara. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 37%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alverca 35%, draw 26%, Santa Clara 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 54% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Alverca 1–1 Santa Clara. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alverca35%fair 2.83 · @2.90
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.95
Santa Clara39%fair 2.57 · @2.55
2.23Expected goals
1.08Alverca xG
1.15Santa Clara xG
54%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Alverca 1.1 – 1.1 Santa Clara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santa Clara to win✗
39%
2.57
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.38
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.14
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santa Clara / FT Santa Clara✗
21%
4.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.07
–
Form
Alverca – last 1
D
13 Feb
@ Tondela
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Santa Clara – last 1
L
13 Feb
vs Benfica
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alverca and Santa Clara.
What is the prediction for Alverca vs Santa Clara?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Alverca vs Santa Clara?
On our numbers Alverca have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Santa Clara 39%.
How many goals will there be in Alverca vs Santa Clara?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alverca vs Santa Clara?
Our predicted score is Alverca 1–1 Santa Clara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Alverca vs Santa Clara?
Alverca vs Santa Clara (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at FC Alverca Sports Complex.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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