Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Las Palmas to win @ 1.93 – our chance 63% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLas Palmas to win ✓63% · @1.93
Double chanceLas Palmas or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.21
Las Palmas vs Granada CF preview and prediction
The match
Granada CF travel to Estadio de Gran Canaria in the Segunda División on Thursday 2 April (18:00 WAT) to face Las Palmas. Las Palmas are 10th with 20 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Granada CF sit 5th on 23 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Las Palmas's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to Eibar 1–3 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Granada CF's last 3: WDL Most recently they beat Real Sociedad II 2–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Las Palmas and 0.7 for Granada CF. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Las Palmas 63%, draw 20%, Granada CF 17%.
Safer route: Las Palmas or draw (83%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Las Palmas to win at 1.93 – 63% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Las Palmas or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Las Palmas 1–0 Granada CF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Las Palmas63%fair 1.59 · @1.93
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.25
Granada CF17%fair 5.98 · @4.10
2.33Expected goals
1.66Las Palmas xG
0.67Granada CF xG
50%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Las Palmas 1.7 – 0.7 Granada CF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Las Palmas to win✓
63%
1.59
1.93 ▲
Double chance
Las Palmas or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Las Palmas / FT Las Palmas✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.21
–
Form
Las Palmas – last 5
LLWWD
29 Mar
@ Eibar
1–3
L
16 Mar
@ Albacete
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs AD Ceuta FC
4–0
W
1 Mar
@ Cultural Leonesa
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ Mirandes
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Granada CF – last 3
WDL
22 Mar
@ Real Sociedad II
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs FC Andorra
1–1
D
20 Feb
@ AD Ceuta FC
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Las Palmas and Granada CF.
What is the prediction for Las Palmas vs Granada CF?
Our pick is Las Palmas or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Las Palmas vs Granada CF?
On our numbers Las Palmas have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Granada CF 17%.
How many goals will there be in Las Palmas vs Granada CF?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Las Palmas vs Granada CF?
Our predicted score is Las Palmas 1–0 Granada CF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Las Palmas vs Granada CF?
Las Palmas vs Granada CF (Segunda División) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Gran Canaria.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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