Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Almeria to win @ 3.45 – our chance 36% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCastellón to win ✓42% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.44
Castellón vs Almeria preview and prediction
The match
Almeria travel to Estadio SkyFi Castalia in the Segunda División on Thursday 2 April (19:00 WAT) to face Castellón. Castellón are 2nd with 27 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Almeria sit 1st on 29 points (top of the table). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Almeria's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Real Sociedad II 5–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.6 for Castellón and 1.5 for Almeria. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.
Value angle: Almeria to win at 3.45 – 36% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Castellón 1–1 Almeria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Castellón42%fair 2.39 · @1.96
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.70
Almeria36%fair 2.78 · @3.45
3.10Expected goals
1.62Castellón xG
1.48Almeria xG
64%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Castellón 1.6 – 1.5 Almeria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Castellón to win✓
42%
2.39
1.96
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.55
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Castellón / FT Castellón✓
24%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.44
–
Form
Castellón – last 2
DW
23 Mar
vs Cultural Leonesa
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Deportivo La Coruna
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Almeria – last 5
WWWDW
29 Mar
vs Real Sociedad II
5–1
W
20 Mar
@ Huesca
3–1
W
9 Mar
vs Cultural Leonesa
3–0
W
27 Feb
@ Albacete
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs FC Andorra
3–2
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Castellón and Almeria.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Castellón vs Almeria?
On our numbers Castellón have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Almeria 36%.
How many goals will there be in Castellón vs Almeria?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Castellón vs Almeria?
Our predicted score is Castellón 1–1 Almeria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Castellón vs Almeria?
Castellón vs Almeria (Segunda División) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio SkyFi Castalia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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