Value bet: Eibar to win @ 2.68 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultEibar to win ✓41% · @2.68
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓11% · fair 8.97
Real Sociedad II vs Eibar preview and prediction
The match
Eibar travel to Zubieta Real Sociedad in the Segunda División on Thursday 2 April (19:00 WAT) to face Real Sociedad II. Real Sociedad II are 17th with 12 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Eibar sit 4th on 23 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Real Sociedad II's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Almeria 1–5 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Eibar's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Las Palmas 3–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.6 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Eibar arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Real Sociedad II and 1.3 for Eibar. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Sociedad II 35%, draw 25%, Eibar 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Eibar to win at 2.68 – 41% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Real Sociedad II 1–1 Eibar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Sociedad II35%fair 2.89 · @2.68
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.10
Eibar41%fair 2.45 · @2.68
2.45Expected goals
1.16Real Sociedad II xG
1.29Eibar xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Real Sociedad II 1.2 – 1.3 Eibar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Eibar to win✓
41%
2.45
2.68 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Eibar / FT Eibar✓
23%
4.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
11%
8.97
–
Form
Real Sociedad II – last 6
LLWWLW
29 Mar
@ Almeria
1–5
L
22 Mar
vs Granada CF
0–2
L
18 Mar
@ Crystal Palace U21
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Cordoba
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Deportivo La Coruna
2–3
L
23 Feb
@ Cadiz
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Eibar – last 5
WDWLW
29 Mar
vs Las Palmas
3–1
W
15 Mar
vs Burgos
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Leganes
1–0
W
21 Feb
@ Deportivo La Coruna
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Racing Santander
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Sociedad II and Eibar.
What is the prediction for Real Sociedad II vs Eibar?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Real Sociedad II vs Eibar?
On our numbers Real Sociedad II have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Eibar 41%.
How many goals will there be in Real Sociedad II vs Eibar?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Sociedad II vs Eibar?
Our predicted score is Real Sociedad II 1–1 Eibar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Real Sociedad II vs Eibar?
Real Sociedad II vs Eibar (Segunda División) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Zubieta Real Sociedad.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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