Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Leganes to win @ 1.93 – our chance 64% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeganes to win ✗64% · @1.93
Double chanceLeganes or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.98
Leganes vs Zaragoza preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División sees Leganes take on Zaragoza on Thursday 2 April, kicking off at 20:30 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal de Butarque.
Form guide
Leganes's last 3: LDD Most recently they lost to Eibar 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Zaragoza's last 3: WWL Most recently they beat Racing Santander 2–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Zaragoza arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Leganes and 0.6 for Zaragoza. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 49%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Leganes 64%, draw 21%, Zaragoza 15%.
Safer route: Leganes or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Leganes to win at 1.93 – 64% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Leganes or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Leganes 1–0 Zaragoza. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leganes64%fair 1.56 · @1.93
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.25
Zaragoza15%fair 6.73 · @4.10
2.31Expected goals
1.68Leganes xG
0.63Zaragoza xG
49%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Leganes 1.7 – 0.6 Zaragoza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leganes to win✗
64%
1.56
1.93 ▲
Double chance
Leganes or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leganes / FT Leganes✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.98
–
Form
Leganes – last 3
LDD
8 Mar
vs Eibar
0–1
L
2 Mar
@ Sporting Gijon
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Cultural Leonesa
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Zaragoza – last 3
WWL
29 Mar
vs Racing Santander
2–0
W
6 Mar
@ Cadiz
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ FC Andorra
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leganes and Zaragoza.
Our pick is Leganes or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Leganes vs Zaragoza?
On our numbers Leganes have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Zaragoza 15%.
How many goals will there be in Leganes vs Zaragoza?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leganes vs Zaragoza?
Our predicted score is Leganes 1–0 Zaragoza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Leganes vs Zaragoza?
Leganes vs Zaragoza (Segunda División) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Butarque.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
