Sporting Gijon vs Deportivo La Coruna prediction & analysis
77%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.22
8/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Deportivo La Coruna to win @ 2.98 – our chance 36% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultSporting Gijon to win38% · @2.44
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–010% · fair 9.60
Sporting Gijon vs Deportivo La Coruna preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo La Coruna travel to Estadio Municipal El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini in the Segunda División on Saturday 28 March (21:00 WAT) to face Sporting Gijon.
Form guide
Sporting Gijon's last 4: LDDD Most recently they lost to FC Andorra 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Deportivo La Coruna's last 3: WWL Most recently they beat Real Sociedad II 3–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Deportivo La Coruna arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Sporting Gijon and 1.2 for Deportivo La Coruna. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 57%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Deportivo La Coruna to win at 2.98 – 36% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Sporting Gijon 1–1 Deportivo La Coruna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sporting Gijon38%fair 2.61 · @2.44
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.05
Deportivo La Coruna36%fair 2.75 · @2.98
2.50Expected goals
1.27Sporting Gijon xG
1.23Deportivo La Coruna xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Sporting Gijon 1.3 – 1.2 Deportivo La Coruna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting Gijon to win
38%
2.61
2.44
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.76
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
69%
1.45
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
56%
1.78
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
77%
1.31
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting Gijon / FT Sporting Gijon
22%
4.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
10%
9.60
–
Form
Sporting Gijon – last 4
LDDD
8 Mar
@ FC Andorra
0–1
L
2 Mar
vs Leganes
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Valladolid
2–2
D
15 Feb
@ Albacete
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Deportivo La Coruna – last 3
WWL
1 Mar
@ Real Sociedad II
3–2
W
21 Feb
vs Eibar
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Castellón
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting Gijon and Deportivo La Coruna.
What is the prediction for Sporting Gijon vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sporting Gijon vs Deportivo La Coruna?
On our numbers Sporting Gijon have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Deportivo La Coruna 36%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Gijon vs Deportivo La Coruna?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Gijon vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Our predicted score is Sporting Gijon 1–1 Deportivo La Coruna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sporting Gijon vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Sporting Gijon vs Deportivo La Coruna (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Huesca
Malaga