AD Ceuta FC host Cadiz in the Segunda División on Saturday 28 March, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube. AD Ceuta FC are 22nd with 5 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Cadiz sit 20th on 10 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
AD Ceuta FC's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Las Palmas 0–4 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Cadiz's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat Mirandes 2–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
AD Ceuta FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.5 for AD Ceuta FC and 1.1 for Cadiz. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: AD Ceuta FC 48%, draw 22%, Cadiz 30%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.77.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: AD Ceuta FC 1–1 Cadiz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AD Ceuta FC48%fair 2.09 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.25
Cadiz30%fair 3.32 · @3.25
2.54Expected goals
1.46AD Ceuta FC xG
1.08Cadiz xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: AD Ceuta FC 1.5 – 1.1 Cadiz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AD Ceuta FC to win✓
48%
2.09
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.80
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AD Ceuta FC / FT AD Ceuta FC✓
27%
3.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.69
–
Form
AD Ceuta FC – last 5
LWWWL
8 Mar
@ Las Palmas
0–4
L
1 Mar
@ Mirandes
1–0
W
25 Feb
vs Cordoba
3–2
W
20 Feb
vs Granada CF
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Huesca
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Cadiz – last 3
WLL
13 Mar
@ Mirandes
2–0
W
6 Mar
vs Zaragoza
0–1
L
23 Feb
vs Real Sociedad II
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AD Ceuta FC and Cadiz.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win AD Ceuta FC vs Cadiz?
On our numbers AD Ceuta FC have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cadiz 30%.
How many goals will there be in AD Ceuta FC vs Cadiz?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AD Ceuta FC vs Cadiz?
Our predicted score is AD Ceuta FC 1–1 Cadiz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is AD Ceuta FC vs Cadiz?
AD Ceuta FC vs Cadiz (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Huesca
Malaga
Deportivo La Coruna