Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Rodez to win @ 1.77 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRodez to win ✓63% · @1.77
Double chanceRodez or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.23
Rodez vs Amiens preview and prediction
The match
Amiens travel to Stade Paul-Lignon in the Ligue 2 on Friday 17 April (19:00 WAT) to face Rodez.
Form guide
Rodez's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Estac Troyes 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Amiens's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to PAU 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Rodez arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Rodez and 0.8 for Amiens. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rodez 63%, draw 21%, Amiens 15%.
Safer route: Rodez or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Rodez to win at 1.77 – 63% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Rodez or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Rodez 1–0 Amiens. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rodez63%fair 1.58 · @1.77
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.75
Amiens15%fair 6.55 · @4.20
2.77Expected goals
1.94Rodez xG
0.83Amiens xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Rodez 1.9 – 0.8 Amiens expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rodez to win✓
63%
1.58
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Rodez or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.44
Half-time result
Rodez ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rodez / FT Rodez✗
40%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.23
–
Form
Rodez – last 6
WDDWWW
13 Apr
vs Estac Troyes
2–1
W
3 Apr
@ Dunkerque
1–1
D
20 Mar
vs Bastia
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Grenoble
1–0
W
20 Feb
vs Montpellier
1–0
W
13 Feb
@ Clermont Foot
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Amiens – last 6
LDLLLL
10 Apr
vs PAU
0–1
L
3 Apr
@ Bastia
1–1
D
20 Mar
vs Le Mans
3–4
L
13 Mar
@ Guingamp
0–1
L
6 Mar
@ Boulogne
2–4
L
2 Mar
vs Estac Troyes
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rodez and Amiens.
Our pick is Rodez or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Rodez vs Amiens?
On our numbers Rodez have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Amiens 15%.
How many goals will there be in Rodez vs Amiens?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rodez vs Amiens?
Our predicted score is Rodez 1–0 Amiens, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Rodez vs Amiens?
Rodez vs Amiens (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Paul-Lignon.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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