The Ligue 2 sees PAU take on Guingamp on Friday 17 April, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Nouste Camp. PAU are 5th with 20 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Guingamp sit 11th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
PAU's last 5: WLDWD Most recently they beat Amiens 1–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Guingamp's last 5: DLWDD Most recently they drew with Grenoble 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.3 for PAU and 1.5 for Guingamp. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: PAU 34%, draw 21%, Guingamp 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: PAU 1–1 Guingamp. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
PAU34%fair 2.91 · @2.95
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.45
Guingamp45%fair 2.23 · @2.25
2.86Expected goals
1.31PAU xG
1.55Guingamp xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–27%
From our goals model: PAU 1.3 – 1.5 Guingamp expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guingamp to win✗
45%
2.23
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.44
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guingamp / FT Guingamp✗
25%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.11
–
Form
PAU – last 6
WLDWDL
10 Apr
@ Amiens
1–0
W
6 Apr
@ Le Mans
0–4
L
20 Mar
vs Montpellier
0–0
D
13 Mar
@ Clermont Foot
1–0
W
6 Mar
vs Bastia
2–2
D
21 Feb
@ Estac Troyes
3–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Guingamp – last 5
DLWDD
10 Apr
vs Grenoble
1–1
D
3 Apr
@ Annecy
0–1
L
13 Mar
vs Amiens
1–0
W
6 Mar
@ Laval
2–2
D
23 Feb
@ Le Mans
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PAU and Guingamp.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win PAU vs Guingamp?
On our numbers PAU have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Guingamp 45%.
How many goals will there be in PAU vs Guingamp?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PAU vs Guingamp?
Our predicted score is PAU 1–1 Guingamp, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is PAU vs Guingamp?
PAU vs Guingamp (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Nouste Camp.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Le Mans1
Amiens2