Value bet: Le Mans to win @ 1.70 – our chance 64% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLe Mans to win ✓64% · @1.70
Double chanceLe Mans or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.24
Le Mans vs Clermont Foot preview and prediction
The match
Le Mans host Clermont Foot in the Ligue 2 on Friday 17 April, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Stade Marie-Marvingt.
Form guide
Le Mans's last 4: WWWD Most recently they beat PAU 4–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 3.3 per game.
Clermont Foot's last 5: DDLLW Most recently they drew with Nancy 2–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Le Mans arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Le Mans and 0.7 for Clermont Foot. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Le Mans 64%, draw 22%, Clermont Foot 14%.
Safer route: Le Mans or draw (86%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Le Mans to win at 1.70 – 64% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Le Mans 2–0 Clermont Foot. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Le Mans64%fair 1.55 · @1.70
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.70
Clermont Foot14%fair 7.31 · @4.75
2.61Expected goals
1.88Le Mans xG
0.73Clermont Foot xG
53%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Le Mans 1.9 – 0.7 Clermont Foot expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Le Mans to win✓
64%
1.55
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Le Mans or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.38
Half-time result
Le Mans ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Le Mans / FT Le Mans✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
7.24
–
Form
Le Mans – last 4
WWWD
6 Apr
vs PAU
4–0
W
20 Mar
@ Amiens
4–3
W
13 Mar
@ Nancy
4–2
W
23 Feb
vs Guingamp
1–1
D
3.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Clermont Foot – last 6
DDLLWW
10 Apr
vs Nancy
2–2
D
3 Apr
@ Grenoble
2–2
D
20 Mar
vs RED Star FC 93
0–1
L
13 Mar
vs PAU
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Dunkerque
2–1
W
20 Feb
@ Boulogne
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Le Mans and Clermont Foot.
What is the prediction for Le Mans vs Clermont Foot?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Le Mans vs Clermont Foot?
On our numbers Le Mans have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Clermont Foot 14%.
How many goals will there be in Le Mans vs Clermont Foot?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Le Mans vs Clermont Foot?
Our predicted score is Le Mans 2–0 Clermont Foot, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Le Mans vs Clermont Foot?
Le Mans vs Clermont Foot (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Marie-Marvingt.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Amiens2