Value bet: Le Mans to win @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLe Mans to win ✓53% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.61
Amiens vs Le Mans preview and prediction
The match
Le Mans travel to Stade de la Licorne in the Ligue 2 on Friday 20 March (20:00 WAT) to face Amiens.
Form guide
Amiens's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Guingamp 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.0 for Amiens and 1.6 for Le Mans. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Amiens 25%, draw 22%, Le Mans 53%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Le Mans to win at 2.10 – 53% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Amiens 0–1 Le Mans. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Amiens25%fair 3.96 · @3.45
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.35
Le Mans53%fair 1.89 · @2.10
2.54Expected goals
0.97Amiens xG
1.57Le Mans xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
1–112%
0–210%
1–29%
0–08%
1–08%
From our goals model: Amiens 1.0 – 1.6 Le Mans expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Le Mans to win✓
53%
1.89
2.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Le Mans / FT Le Mans✓
31%
3.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.61
–
Form
Amiens – last 5
LLLDL
13 Mar
@ Guingamp
0–1
L
6 Mar
@ Boulogne
2–4
L
2 Mar
vs Estac Troyes
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Reims
0–0
D
13 Feb
vs Dunkerque
1–4
L
0.6Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Le Mans – last 2
WD
13 Mar
@ Nancy
4–2
W
23 Feb
vs Guingamp
1–1
D
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amiens and Le Mans.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Amiens vs Le Mans?
On our numbers Amiens have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Le Mans 53%.
How many goals will there be in Amiens vs Le Mans?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Amiens vs Le Mans?
Our predicted score is Amiens 0–1 Le Mans, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Amiens vs Le Mans?
Amiens vs Le Mans (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Licorne.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Rodez1
Bastia1
Laval3
Grenoble2
Boulogne0
Nancy0
PAU0
Montpellier0
Clermont Foot0
RED Star FC 931