Value bet: Boulogne to win @ 2.30 – our chance 47% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBoulogne to win ✗47% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.04
Boulogne vs Nancy preview and prediction
The match
Nancy travel to Stade de la Libération in the Ligue 2 on Friday 20 March (20:00 WAT) to face Boulogne. Boulogne are 12th with 13 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Nancy sit 2nd on 25 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Boulogne's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Bastia 1–0 away. They average 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nancy's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to Le Mans 2–4 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Boulogne arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.4 for Boulogne and 1.0 for Nancy. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Boulogne 47%, draw 23%, Nancy 30%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Boulogne to win at 2.30 – 47% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Boulogne 1–1 Nancy. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Boulogne47%fair 2.15 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.10
Nancy30%fair 3.31 · @3.25
2.40Expected goals
1.37Boulogne xG
1.03Nancy xG
50%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–09%
From our goals model: Boulogne 1.4 – 1.0 Nancy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Boulogne to win✗
47%
2.15
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Boulogne / FT Boulogne✗
26%
3.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.04
–
Form
Boulogne – last 5
WWDLW
13 Mar
@ Bastia
1–0
W
6 Mar
vs Amiens
4–2
W
27 Feb
@ Grenoble
0–0
D
20 Feb
vs Clermont Foot
0–2
L
13 Feb
@ PAU
2–1
W
1.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Nancy – last 5
LLDDL
13 Mar
vs Le Mans
2–4
L
6 Mar
vs Montpellier
0–3
L
27 Feb
@ Laval
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Grenoble
0–0
D
13 Feb
@ RED Star FC 93
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Boulogne and Nancy.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Boulogne vs Nancy?
On our numbers Boulogne have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nancy 30%.
How many goals will there be in Boulogne vs Nancy?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Boulogne vs Nancy?
Our predicted score is Boulogne 1–1 Nancy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Boulogne vs Nancy?
Boulogne vs Nancy (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Libération.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Bastia1
Amiens3
Le Mans4