Double chanceParis Saint Germain or draw88% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.25
Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon preview and prediction
The match
Paris Saint Germain host Lyon in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Parc des Princes. Paris Saint Germain are 1st with 23 points from 10 games (top of the table), while Lyon sit 5th on 17 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Paris Saint Germain's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Liverpool 2–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lyon's last 5: DLLDD Most recently they drew with Angers 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Paris Saint Germain arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Paris Saint Germain and 0.9 for Lyon. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Paris Saint Germain 67%, draw 21%, Lyon 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Paris Saint Germain to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.31. Predicted score: Paris Saint Germain 2–0 Lyon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paris Saint Germain67%fair 1.49 · @1.31
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @5.50
Lyon12%fair 8.09 · @8.30
3.07Expected goals
2.21Paris Saint Germain xG
0.86Lyon xG
57%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Paris Saint Germain 2.2 – 0.9 Lyon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paris Saint Germain to win
67%
1.49
1.31
Double chance
Paris Saint Germain or draw
88%
1.14
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.74
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
82%
1.22
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
62%
1.61
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
60%
1.67
1.67
Half-time result
Paris Saint Germain ahead at half-time
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paris Saint Germain / FT Paris Saint Germain
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.25
–
Form
Paris Saint Germain – last 6
WWWWWL
14 Apr
@ Liverpool
2–0
W
8 Apr
vs Liverpool
2–0
W
3 Apr
vs Toulouse
3–1
W
17 Mar
@ Chelsea
3–0
W
11 Mar
vs Chelsea
5–2
W
6 Mar
vs Monaco
1–3
L
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lyon – last 6
DLLDDL
5 Apr
@ Angers
0–0
D
22 Mar
vs Monaco
1–2
L
19 Mar
vs Celta Vigo
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ Le Havre
0–0
D
12 Mar
@ Celta Vigo
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Strasbourg
1–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paris Saint Germain and Lyon.
What is the prediction for Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon?
Our pick is Paris Saint Germain to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.
Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon?
On our numbers Paris Saint Germain have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lyon 12%.
How many goals will there be in Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon?
Our predicted score is Paris Saint Germain 2–0 Lyon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon?
Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Parc des Princes.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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