Value bet: Stade Brestois 29 to win @ 3.10 – our chance 41% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultStade Brestois 29 to win41% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 11.77
Nantes vs Stade Brestois 29 preview and prediction
The match
Stade Brestois 29 travel to Stade de la Beaujoire in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 19 April (16:15 WAT) to face Nantes.
Form guide
Nantes's last 4: DLWL Most recently they drew with Metz 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Stade Brestois 29's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Le Havre 2–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Stade Brestois 29 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Nantes and 1.3 for Stade Brestois 29. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Stade Brestois 29 to win at 3.10 – 41% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Nantes 1–1 Stade Brestois 29. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nantes35%fair 2.88 · @2.32
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.15
Stade Brestois 2941%fair 2.45 · @3.10
2.56Expected goals
1.22Nantes xG
1.35Stade Brestois 29 xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Nantes 1.2 – 1.3 Stade Brestois 29 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stade Brestois 29 to win
41%
2.45
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.77
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.42
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
75%
1.33
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stade Brestois 29 / FT Stade Brestois 29
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
8%
11.77
–
Form
Nantes – last 4
DLWL
5 Apr
@ Metz
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Lille
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Le Havre
2–0
W
13 Feb
@ Monaco
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Stade Brestois 29 – last 3
WWW
8 Mar
vs Le Havre
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ Metz
1–0
W
20 Feb
vs Marseille
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nantes and Stade Brestois 29.
What is the prediction for Nantes vs Stade Brestois 29?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Nantes vs Stade Brestois 29?
On our numbers Nantes have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Stade Brestois 29 41%.
How many goals will there be in Nantes vs Stade Brestois 29?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nantes vs Stade Brestois 29?
Our predicted score is Nantes 1–1 Stade Brestois 29, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Nantes vs Stade Brestois 29?
Nantes vs Stade Brestois 29 (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Beaujoire.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Metz1