Monaco host Auxerre in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stade Louis II. Monaco are 7th with 16 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Auxerre sit 14th on 10 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Monaco's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Paris FC 1–4 away. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Auxerre's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with Le Havre 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Monaco arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Monaco and 0.8 for Auxerre. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Monaco 64%, draw 20%, Auxerre 16%.
Safer route: Monaco or draw (84%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Monaco 2–0 Auxerre. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Monaco64%fair 1.56 · @1.54
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @4.20
Auxerre16%fair 6.38 · @5.60
2.79Expected goals
1.96Monaco xG
0.83Auxerre xG
56%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Monaco 2.0 – 0.8 Auxerre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Monaco to win✗
64%
1.56
1.54
Double chance
Monaco or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.45
Half-time result
Monaco ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Monaco / FT Monaco✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.20
–
Form
Monaco – last 6
LWWWDW
10 Apr
@ Paris FC
1–4
L
5 Apr
vs Marseille
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Lyon
2–1
W
6 Mar
@ Paris Saint Germain
3–1
W
25 Feb
@ Paris Saint Germain
2–2
D
21 Feb
@ Lens
3–2
W
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Auxerre – last 5
DLDLW
5 Apr
@ Le Havre
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Marseille
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Lorient
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Rennes
0–3
L
15 Feb
@ Metz
3–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monaco and Auxerre.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Monaco vs Auxerre?
On our numbers Monaco have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Auxerre 16%.
How many goals will there be in Monaco vs Auxerre?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monaco vs Auxerre?
Our predicted score is Monaco 2–0 Auxerre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Monaco vs Auxerre?
Monaco vs Auxerre (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Louis II.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Metz1
Nantes1