Paris FC travel to Stade Saint-Symphorien in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 19 April (16:15 WAT) to face Metz.
Form guide
Metz's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Marseille 1–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Paris FC's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Monaco 4–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Paris FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.2 for Metz and 1.6 for Paris FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Metz 31%, draw 22%, Paris FC 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Metz 1–1 Paris FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Metz31%fair 3.24 · @3.40
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.35
Paris FC47%fair 2.11 · @2.08
2.80Expected goals
1.22Metz xG
1.58Paris FC xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Metz 1.2 – 1.6 Paris FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paris FC to win
47%
2.11
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
61%
1.63
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
75%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
51%
1.95
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
70%
1.43
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paris FC / FT Paris FC
27%
3.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
10.78
–
Form
Metz – last 6
LDDLLL
10 Apr
@ Marseille
1–3
L
5 Apr
vs Nantes
0–0
D
22 Mar
@ Rennes
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Toulouse
3–4
L
8 Mar
@ Lens
0–3
L
1 Mar
vs Stade Brestois 29
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Paris FC – last 5
WDWDW
10 Apr
vs Monaco
4–1
W
5 Apr
@ Lorient
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Le Havre
3–2
W
15 Mar
@ Strasbourg
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Nice
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Metz and Paris FC.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Metz vs Paris FC?
On our numbers Metz have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Paris FC 47%.
How many goals will there be in Metz vs Paris FC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Metz vs Paris FC?
Our predicted score is Metz 1–1 Paris FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Metz vs Paris FC?
Metz vs Paris FC (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade Saint-Symphorien.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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