Value bet: Nice to win @ 3.00 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultParis FC to win ✓38% · @2.34
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.87
Paris FC vs Nice preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue 1 sees Paris FC take on Nice on Sunday 1 March, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stade Jean Bouin. Paris FC are 3rd with 20 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Nice sit 6th on 17 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Paris FC and 1.4 for Nice. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Paris FC 38%, draw 24%, Nice 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Nice to win at 3.00 – 38% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Paris FC 1–1 Nice. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paris FC38%fair 2.61 · @2.34
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.25
Nice38%fair 2.67 · @3.00
2.84Expected goals
1.43Paris FC xG
1.41Nice xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–18%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Paris FC 1.4 – 1.4 Nice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paris FC to win✓
38%
2.61
2.34
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paris FC / FT Paris FC✓
22%
4.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.87
–
Form
Paris FC
No recent results on record.
Nice – last 2
DL
22 Feb
vs Lorient
3–3
D
15 Feb
@ Lyon
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paris FC and Nice.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Paris FC vs Nice?
On our numbers Paris FC have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Nice 38%.
How many goals will there be in Paris FC vs Nice?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paris FC vs Nice?
Our predicted score is Paris FC 1–1 Nice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Paris FC vs Nice?
Paris FC vs Nice (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Jean Bouin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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