Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗14% · fair 7.26
Lille vs Nantes preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue 1 sees Lille take on Nantes on Sunday 1 March, kicking off at 17:15 (WAT) at Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy.
Form guide
Lille's last 3: WWL Most recently they beat FK Crvena Zvezda 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.1 for Lille and 0.7 for Nantes. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 48%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lille 70%, draw 20%, Nantes 10%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Lille to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.49, above our fair price of 1.42, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lille 2–0 Nantes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lille70%fair 1.42 · @1.49
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @4.10
Nantes10%fair 10.12 · @6.40
2.79Expected goals
2.12Lille xG
0.67Nantes xG
48%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–013%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Lille 2.1 – 0.7 Nantes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lille to win✓
70%
1.42
1.49
Double chance
Lille or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Half-time result
Lille ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lille / FT Lille✗
47%
2.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
14%
7.26
–
Form
Lille – last 3
WWL
26 Feb
@ FK Crvena Zvezda
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Angers
1–0
W
19 Feb
vs FK Crvena Zvezda
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Nantes – last 2
WL
22 Feb
vs Le Havre
2–0
W
13 Feb
@ Monaco
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lille and Nantes.
Our pick is Lille to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.49.
Who will win Lille vs Nantes?
On our numbers Lille have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Nantes 10%.
How many goals will there be in Lille vs Nantes?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lille vs Nantes?
Our predicted score is Lille 2–0 Nantes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Lille vs Nantes?
Lille vs Nantes (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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