Value bet: Stade Brestois 29 to win @ 2.12 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultStade Brestois 29 to win ✓51% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓10% · fair 9.91
Metz vs Stade Brestois 29 preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue 1 sees Metz take on Stade Brestois 29 on Sunday 1 March, kicking off at 17:15 (WAT) at Stade Saint-Symphorien.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.1 for Metz and 1.7 for Stade Brestois 29. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Stade Brestois 29 to win at 2.12 – 51% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Metz 1–1 Stade Brestois 29. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Metz27%fair 3.75 · @3.35
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.30
Stade Brestois 2951%fair 1.94 · @2.12
2.82Expected goals
1.13Metz xG
1.68Stade Brestois 29 xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–28%
1–07%
2–16%
From our goals model: Metz 1.1 – 1.7 Stade Brestois 29 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stade Brestois 29 to win✓
51%
1.94
2.12 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stade Brestois 29 / FT Stade Brestois 29✗
31%
3.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
10%
9.91
–
Form
Metz – last 1
L
15 Feb
vs Auxerre
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Stade Brestois 29 – last 1
W
20 Feb
vs Marseille
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Metz and Stade Brestois 29.
What is the prediction for Metz vs Stade Brestois 29?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Metz vs Stade Brestois 29?
On our numbers Metz have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Stade Brestois 29 51%.
How many goals will there be in Metz vs Stade Brestois 29?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Metz vs Stade Brestois 29?
Our predicted score is Metz 1–1 Stade Brestois 29, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Metz vs Stade Brestois 29?
Metz vs Stade Brestois 29 (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade Saint-Symphorien.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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