The Ligue 1 sees Lyon take on Nice on Sunday 15 February, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at Parc Olympique Lyonnais. Lyon are 5th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Nice sit 6th on 17 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for Lyon and 1.0 for Nice. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lyon 61%, draw 19%, Nice 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Lyon 1–1 Nice. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lyon61%fair 1.65 · @1.70
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @3.80
Nice20%fair 4.97 · @4.60
2.85Expected goals
1.89Lyon xG
0.96Nice xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–110%
2–010%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Lyon 1.9 – 1.0 Nice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lyon to win✓
61%
1.65
1.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.42
Half-time result
Lyon ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lyon / FT Lyon✓
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.16
–
Form
Lyon
No recent results on record.
Nice
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lyon and Nice.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Lyon vs Nice?
On our numbers Lyon have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Nice 20%.
How many goals will there be in Lyon vs Nice?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lyon vs Nice?
Our predicted score is Lyon 1–1 Nice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Lyon vs Nice?
Lyon vs Nice (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Parc Olympique Lyonnais.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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