Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Lorient to win @ 1.91 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLorient to win ✓61% · @1.91
Double chanceLorient or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.71
Lorient vs Angers preview and prediction
The match
Angers travel to Stade du Moustoir in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 15 February (17:15 WAT) to face Lorient. Lorient are 10th with 15 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Angers sit 16th on 8 points (in the bottom three).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Lorient and 0.7 for Angers. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lorient 61%, draw 25%, Angers 14%.
Safer route: Lorient or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Lorient to win at 1.91 – 61% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Lorient or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lorient 1–0 Angers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lorient61%fair 1.65 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.15
Angers14%fair 7.00 · @4.40
2.45Expected goals
1.73Lorient xG
0.72Angers xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Lorient 1.7 – 0.7 Angers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lorient to win✓
61%
1.65
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Lorient or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Half-time result
Lorient ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lorient / FT Lorient✓
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.71
–
Form
Lorient
No recent results on record.
Angers
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lorient and Angers.
Our pick is Lorient or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Lorient vs Angers?
On our numbers Lorient have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Angers 14%.
How many goals will there be in Lorient vs Angers?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lorient vs Angers?
Our predicted score is Lorient 1–0 Angers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Lorient vs Angers?
Lorient vs Angers (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade du Moustoir.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Metz1