Value bet: Le Havre to win @ 3.15 – our chance 34% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultToulouse to win ✗42% · @2.34
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.46
Le Havre vs Toulouse preview and prediction
The match
Toulouse travel to Stade Océane in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 15 February (15:00 WAT) to face Le Havre. Le Havre are 18th with 2 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Toulouse sit 12th on 13 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Le Havre and 1.3 for Toulouse. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Le Havre 34%, draw 23%, Toulouse 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Le Havre to win at 3.15 – 34% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Le Havre 1–1 Toulouse. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Le Havre34%fair 2.93 · @3.15
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.05
Toulouse42%fair 2.36 · @2.34
2.38Expected goals
1.10Le Havre xG
1.27Toulouse xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Le Havre 1.1 – 1.3 Toulouse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Toulouse to win✗
42%
2.36
2.34
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Toulouse / FT Toulouse✗
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.46
–
Form
Le Havre
No recent results on record.
Toulouse
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Le Havre and Toulouse.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Le Havre vs Toulouse?
On our numbers Le Havre have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Toulouse 42%.
How many goals will there be in Le Havre vs Toulouse?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Le Havre vs Toulouse?
Our predicted score is Le Havre 1–1 Toulouse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Le Havre vs Toulouse?
Le Havre vs Toulouse (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Océane.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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