Plymouth vs Stevenage Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 17 Mar 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultPlymouth to win ✓52% · @1.92

Double chancePlymouth or draw ✓77% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.93

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓12% · fair 8.42

Plymouth vs Stevenage preview and prediction

The match

Plymouth host Stevenage in the League One on Tuesday 17 March, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at Home Park. Plymouth are 5th with 23 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Stevenage sit 16th on 16 points (in the bottom half).

Form guide

Plymouth's last 4: WLWW Most recently they beat Wigan 3–0 away. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.

Stevenage's last 3: LLW Most recently they lost to Leyton Orient 1–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.

Plymouth arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.6 for Plymouth and 1.0 for Stevenage. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Win chances: Plymouth 52%, draw 25%, Stevenage 23%.
Safer route: Plymouth or draw (77%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.93 – 55% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Plymouth or draw – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Plymouth 1–1 Stevenage. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Plymouth52%fair 1.92 · @1.92

Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.35

Stevenage23%fair 4.40 · @4.00

2.57Expected goals

1.55Plymouth xG

1.02Stevenage xG

55%Both score

45%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%

1–012%

2–19%

2–09%

0–18%

0–08%

From our goals model: Plymouth 1.6 – 1.0 Stevenage expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Footrivo team ratings

	Plymouth	Stevenage
Attack vs League One average	+18%	-4%
Goals conceded vs average	-3%	-9%
Our expected goals here	1.59	1.13

Plymouth

Stevenage

Attack vs League One average

+18%

-4%

Goals conceded vs average

-3%

-9%

Our expected goals here

1.59

1.13

Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Plymouth to win ✓	52%	1.92	1.92
Double chance	Plymouth or draw ✓	77%	1.29	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	55%	1.82	1.93 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	70%	1.43	1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	55%	1.82	1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	76%	1.32	1.22
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	43%	2.33	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Plymouth / FT Plymouth ✗	30%	3.35	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✓	12%	8.42	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Plymouth to win ✓

52%

1.92

Double chance

Plymouth or draw ✓

77%

1.29

1.22

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✗

55%

1.82

1.93 ▲

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✗

70%

1.43

1.40

Over/under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals ✓

55%

1.82

1.65

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✓

76%

1.32

1.22

Half-time result

Level at half-time ✓

43%

2.33

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Plymouth / FT Plymouth ✗

30%

3.35

–

Correct score

Correct score 1–0 ✓

12%

8.42

–

Form

Head to head

League One table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Huddersfield	14	8	5	1	+16	29
2	Stockport County	14	8	2	4	+12	26
3	Oxford United	13	7	5	1	+11	26
4	Luton	14	7	3	4	+6	24
5	Plymouth	14	7	2	5	+2	23
6	Reading	14	6	4	4	+10	22
7	Bradford	13	6	4	3	+2	22
8	Cambridge United	14	5	6	3	0	21
9	Sheffield Wednesday	13	5	5	3	+8	20
10	Leicester	13	5	4	4	+3	19
11	Mansfield Town	13	5	4	4	+2	19
12	Milton Keynes Dons	13	4	6	3	+2	18
13	Wycombe	13	4	6	3	-2	18
14	Leyton Orient	13	5	2	6	+5	17
15	Burton Albion	14	4	5	5	-3	17
16	Stevenage	12	4	4	4	+4	16
17	Notts County	12	3	5	4	-1	14
18	AFC Wimbledon	13	3	4	6	-12	13
19	Blackpool	12	3	3	6	-4	12
20	Doncaster	13	3	3	7	-8	12
21	Wigan	14	3	2	9	-11	11
22	Peterborough	13	2	4	7	-12	10
23	Barnsley	12	2	3	7	-10	9
24	Bromley	13	2	3	8	-20	9

Team

Pts

+16

+12

+11

+10

-2

-3

-1

-12

-4

-8

-11

-12

-10

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Plymouth vs Stevenage?

Our pick is Plymouth or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Plymouth vs Stevenage?

On our numbers Plymouth have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Stevenage 23%.

How many goals will there be in Plymouth vs Stevenage?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Plymouth vs Stevenage?

Our predicted score is Plymouth 1–1 Stevenage, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Plymouth vs Stevenage?

Plymouth vs Stevenage (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Home Park.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

10 Mar	@ Wigan	3–0	W
24 Feb	@ Luton	1–2	L
21 Feb	vs Cardiff	5–2	W
17 Feb	@ Leyton Orient	3–1	W

10 Mar	vs Leyton Orient	1–2	L
21 Feb	@ Wycombe	1–3	L
17 Feb	vs Port Vale	2–1	W

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes

Plymouth

Stevenage

Plymouth vs Stevenage prediction & analysis

Plymouth or draw

Quick tips for this match

Plymouth vs Stevenage preview and prediction

The match

Form guide

Goals outlook

Betting angles

Our prediction

Win chances

Most likely scores

Footrivo team ratings

Every market, with fair odds

Form

Plymouth – last 4

Stevenage – last 3

Head to head

League One table

More League One predictions

Frequently asked questions