Value bet: Port Vale to win @ 3.85 – our chance 33% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBlackpool to win ✓42% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.22
Blackpool vs Port Vale preview and prediction
The match
Port Vale travel to Bloomfield Road in the League One on Tuesday 17 March (20:45 WAT) to face Blackpool.
Form guide
Blackpool's last 3: LDW Most recently they lost to AFC Wimbledon 1–4 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Port Vale's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Bradford 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Blackpool and 1.2 for Port Vale. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Blackpool 42%, draw 25%, Port Vale 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Port Vale to win at 3.85 – 33% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Blackpool 1–1 Port Vale. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Blackpool42%fair 2.39 · @1.97
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.30
Port Vale33%fair 3.02 · @3.85
2.49Expected goals
1.31Blackpool xG
1.18Port Vale xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Blackpool 1.3 – 1.2 Port Vale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Blackpool
Port Vale
Attack vs League One average
-3%
-16%
Goals conceded vs average
+20%
-9%
Our expected goals here
1.31
1.22
Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Blackpool to win✓
42%
2.39
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Blackpool / FT Blackpool✗
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.22
–
Form
Blackpool – last 3
LDW
11 Mar
@ AFC Wimbledon
1–4
L
21 Feb
@ Bolton
2–2
D
17 Feb
vs Mansfield Town
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Port Vale – last 6
LWDWDL
11 Mar
vs Bradford
0–2
L
8 Mar
vs Sunderland
1–0
W
3 Mar
vs Bristol City
0–0
D
24 Feb
@ Northampton
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Reading
1–1
D
17 Feb
@ Stevenage
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Blackpool and Port Vale.
What is the prediction for Blackpool vs Port Vale?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Blackpool vs Port Vale?
On our numbers Blackpool have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Port Vale 33%.
How many goals will there be in Blackpool vs Port Vale?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Blackpool vs Port Vale?
Our predicted score is Blackpool 1–1 Port Vale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Blackpool vs Port Vale?
Blackpool vs Port Vale (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Bloomfield Road.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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