Value bet: Leyton Orient to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeyton Orient to win ✓36% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.73
AFC Wimbledon vs Leyton Orient preview and prediction
The match
AFC Wimbledon host Leyton Orient in the League One on Tuesday 17 March, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at The Cherry Red Records Stadium. AFC Wimbledon are 18th with 13 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Leyton Orient sit 14th on 17 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
AFC Wimbledon's last 4: WWWL Most recently they beat Blackpool 4–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Leyton Orient's last 4: WLWL Most recently they beat Stevenage 2–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
AFC Wimbledon arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for AFC Wimbledon and 1.4 for Leyton Orient. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: AFC Wimbledon 36%, draw 27%, Leyton Orient 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Leyton Orient to win at 3.10 – 36% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: AFC Wimbledon 1–1 Leyton Orient. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AFC Wimbledon36%fair 2.76 · @2.30
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @3.20
Leyton Orient36%fair 2.75 · @3.10
2.52Expected goals
1.09AFC Wimbledon xG
1.43Leyton Orient xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: AFC Wimbledon 1.1 – 1.4 Leyton Orient expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
AFC Wimbledon
Leyton Orient
Attack vs League One average
-33%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
+19%
-13%
Our expected goals here
0.85
1.47
Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leyton Orient to win✓
36%
2.75
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.38
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leyton Orient / FT Leyton Orient✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.73
–
Form
AFC Wimbledon – last 4
WWWL
11 Mar
vs Blackpool
4–1
W
8 Mar
vs Northampton
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Bradford
3–1
W
17 Feb
@ Cardiff
1–4
L
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Leyton Orient – last 4
WLWL
10 Mar
@ Stevenage
2–1
W
28 Feb
vs Barnsley
1–3
L
21 Feb
@ Northampton
2–1
W
17 Feb
vs Plymouth
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Wimbledon and Leyton Orient.
What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon vs Leyton Orient?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Leyton Orient?
On our numbers AFC Wimbledon have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Leyton Orient 36%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Wimbledon vs Leyton Orient?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Wimbledon vs Leyton Orient?
Our predicted score is AFC Wimbledon 1–1 Leyton Orient, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is AFC Wimbledon vs Leyton Orient?
AFC Wimbledon vs Leyton Orient (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Cherry Red Records Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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