Barnsley host Wigan in the League One on Tuesday 17 March, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT) at Oakwell. Barnsley are 23rd with 9 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Wigan sit 21st on 11 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Barnsley's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Cardiff 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Wigan's last 4: LLWL Most recently they lost to Plymouth 0–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Barnsley arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.4 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Barnsley and 1.2 for Wigan. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Barnsley 42%, draw 25%, Wigan 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Barnsley 1–1 Wigan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barnsley42%fair 2.40 · @2.24
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.40
Wigan33%fair 3.04 · @3.05
2.55Expected goals
1.38Barnsley xG
1.17Wigan xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–07%
From our goals model: Barnsley 1.4 – 1.2 Wigan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Barnsley
Wigan
Attack vs League One average
-23%
-29%
Goals conceded vs average
+13%
+2%
Our expected goals here
1.17
0.97
Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barnsley to win✗
42%
2.40
2.24
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barnsley / FT Barnsley✗
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.30
–
Form
Barnsley – last 5
DLWLW
10 Mar
vs Cardiff
1–1
D
3 Mar
vs Wycombe
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ Leyton Orient
3–1
W
21 Feb
@ Huddersfield
1–2
L
17 Feb
vs Peterborough
2–1
W
1.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Wigan – last 4
LLWL
10 Mar
vs Plymouth
0–3
L
21 Feb
@ Stockport County
2–4
L
18 Feb
vs Luton
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Arsenal
0–4
L
0.8Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barnsley and Wigan.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Barnsley vs Wigan?
On our numbers Barnsley have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Wigan 33%.
How many goals will there be in Barnsley vs Wigan?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barnsley vs Wigan?
Our predicted score is Barnsley 1–1 Wigan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Barnsley vs Wigan?
Barnsley vs Wigan (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Oakwell.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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