Value bet: Stoke City to win @ 3.45 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBristol City to win ✓48% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.03
Bristol City vs Stoke City preview and prediction
The match
The Championship sees Bristol City take on Stoke City on Saturday 2 May, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at Ashton Gate Stadium. Bristol City are 17th with 18 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Stoke City sit 3rd on 29 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Bristol City's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with Southampton 2–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Stoke City's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Millwall 1–3 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.5 for Bristol City and 1.2 for Stoke City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 64%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bristol City 48%, draw 20%, Stoke City 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Stoke City to win at 3.45 – 32% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Bristol City 1–1 Stoke City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bristol City48%fair 2.09 · @1.96
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.70
Stoke City32%fair 3.13 · @3.45
2.74Expected goals
1.54Bristol City xG
1.20Stoke City xG
64%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Bristol City 1.5 – 1.2 Stoke City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bristol City to win✓
48%
2.09
1.96
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.50
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bristol City / FT Bristol City✓
27%
3.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.03
–
Form
Bristol City – last 6
DWWLDL
21 Apr
@ Southampton
2–2
D
6 Apr
vs Sheffield Utd
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Charlton
2–1
W
10 Mar
@ Leicester
0–2
L
3 Mar
@ Port Vale
0–0
D
27 Feb
vs Watford
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Stoke City – last 6
LLWLDW
21 Apr
vs Millwall
1–3
L
6 Apr
@ Derby
0–2
L
3 Apr
vs Sheffield Wednesday
2–0
W
20 Mar
@ Preston
1–3
L
10 Mar
vs Ipswich
3–3
D
25 Feb
vs Oxford United
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bristol City and Stoke City.
What is the prediction for Bristol City vs Stoke City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Bristol City vs Stoke City?
On our numbers Bristol City have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Stoke City 32%.
How many goals will there be in Bristol City vs Stoke City?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bristol City vs Stoke City?
Our predicted score is Bristol City 1–1 Stoke City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Bristol City vs Stoke City?
Bristol City vs Stoke City (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Ashton Gate Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Leicester1
Coventry4
Hull City2
Ipswich3
Sheffield Wednesday2
Oxford United0