The Championship sees Millwall take on Oxford United on Saturday 2 May, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at The Den.
Form guide
Millwall's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Stoke City 3–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Oxford United's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Wrexham 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Millwall arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Millwall and 0.7 for Oxford United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Millwall 68%, draw 23%, Oxford United 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Millwall 2–0 Oxford United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Millwall68%fair 1.47 · @1.37
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @4.55
Oxford United9%fair 10.77 · @8.20
2.67Expected goals
2.02Millwall xG
0.65Oxford United xG
50%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Millwall 2.0 – 0.7 Oxford United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Millwall to win✓
68%
1.47
1.37
Double chance
Millwall or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.48
Half-time result
Millwall ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Millwall / FT Millwall✓
45%
2.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✓
14%
7.08
–
Form
Millwall – last 6
WDLWWW
21 Apr
@ Stoke City
3–1
W
10 Apr
@ West Brom
0–0
D
6 Apr
vs Norwich
1–2
L
3 Apr
@ Middlesbrough
2–1
W
10 Mar
vs Derby
1–0
W
7 Mar
@ Hull City
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Oxford United – last 6
LDDWWL
21 Apr
vs Wrexham
0–1
L
6 Apr
@ Portsmouth
2–2
D
3 Apr
vs Hull City
1–1
D
11 Mar
vs Blackburn
1–0
W
6 Mar
@ Preston
3–1
W
25 Feb
@ Stoke City
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Millwall and Oxford United.
What is the prediction for Millwall vs Oxford United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Millwall vs Oxford United?
On our numbers Millwall have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Oxford United 9%.
How many goals will there be in Millwall vs Oxford United?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Millwall vs Oxford United?
Our predicted score is Millwall 2–0 Oxford United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Millwall vs Oxford United?
Millwall vs Oxford United (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at The Den.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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