Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMiddlesbrough to win ✗42% · @2.44
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.40
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough preview and prediction
The match
Middlesbrough travel to SToK Cae Ras in the Championship on Saturday 2 May (12:30 WAT) to face Wrexham. Wrexham are 15th with 18 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Middlesbrough sit 2nd on 29 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Wrexham's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Coventry 1–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Middlesbrough's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat Sheffield Wednesday 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Middlesbrough arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Wrexham and 1.5 for Middlesbrough. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Wrexham 1–1 Middlesbrough. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Wrexham36%fair 2.80 · @2.58
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.65
Middlesbrough42%fair 2.38 · @2.44
2.87Expected goals
1.36Wrexham xG
1.51Middlesbrough xG
64%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Wrexham 1.4 – 1.5 Middlesbrough expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Middlesbrough to win✗
42%
2.38
2.44
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.50
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Middlesbrough / FT Middlesbrough✗
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.40
–
Form
Wrexham – last 6
LWLLDL
26 Apr
@ Coventry
1–3
L
21 Apr
@ Oxford United
1–0
W
12 Apr
@ Birmingham
0–2
L
7 Apr
vs Southampton
1–5
L
3 Apr
@ West Brom
2–2
D
17 Mar
@ Watford
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Middlesbrough – last 6
WDDLLW
22 Apr
vs Sheffield Wednesday
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Ipswich
2–2
D
6 Apr
@ Swansea
2–2
D
3 Apr
vs Millwall
1–2
L
11 Mar
vs Charlton
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ QPR
4–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wrexham and Middlesbrough.
What is the prediction for Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?
On our numbers Wrexham have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Middlesbrough 42%.
How many goals will there be in Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?
Our predicted score is Wrexham 1–1 Middlesbrough, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at SToK Cae Ras.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Leicester1
Coventry4
Hull City2
Ipswich3
Sheffield Wednesday2
Oxford United0