Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMiddlesbrough to win ✗59% · @1.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.27
Middlesbrough vs Millwall preview and prediction
The match
The Championship sees Middlesbrough take on Millwall on Friday 3 April, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at Riverside Stadium. Middlesbrough are 2nd with 29 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Millwall sit 16th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Middlesbrough's last 5: LWWDD Most recently they lost to Charlton 0–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Millwall's last 4: WWWL Most recently they beat Derby 1–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Millwall arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.6 for Middlesbrough and 0.8 for Millwall. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 56%.
Our pre-match pick was Middlesbrough to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Middlesbrough 1–0 Millwall. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Middlesbrough59%fair 1.71 · @1.70
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @3.70
Millwall22%fair 4.53 · @4.50
2.47Expected goals
1.63Middlesbrough xG
0.84Millwall xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Middlesbrough 1.6 – 0.8 Millwall expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Middlesbrough to win✗
59%
1.71
1.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Middlesbrough / FT Middlesbrough✗
34%
2.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.27
–
Form
Middlesbrough – last 6
LWWDDL
11 Mar
vs Charlton
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ QPR
4–0
W
2 Mar
@ Birmingham
3–1
W
24 Feb
vs Leicester
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Oxford United
0–0
D
16 Feb
@ Coventry
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Millwall – last 4
WWWL
10 Mar
vs Derby
1–0
W
7 Mar
@ Hull City
3–1
W
25 Feb
vs Birmingham
3–0
W
21 Feb
vs Portsmouth
1–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Middlesbrough and Millwall.
What is the prediction for Middlesbrough vs Millwall?
Our pick is Middlesbrough to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Middlesbrough vs Millwall?
On our numbers Middlesbrough have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Millwall 22%.
How many goals will there be in Middlesbrough vs Millwall?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Middlesbrough vs Millwall?
Our predicted score is Middlesbrough 1–0 Millwall, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Middlesbrough vs Millwall?
Middlesbrough vs Millwall (Championship) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Riverside Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Leicester2
Oxford United1
Hull City1
Sheffield Wednesday0